SOFI Stock Jumps: Key Drivers Behind Today's Movement

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Oct 30, 2024

Shares of SoFi Technologies (SOFI, Financial) experienced a significant surge, climbing by 7.16%. This movement was catalyzed by the company's robust third-quarter performance, where it reported diluted earnings per share of $0.05 on revenue exceeding $697 million, outperforming analyst expectations. Moreover, SoFi has revised its full-year 2024 guidance upwards, projecting adjusted net revenue between $2.535 billion and $2.550 billion, along with adjusted EBITDA ranging from $640 million to $645 million.

SoFi's focus on expanding its lending capabilities through a capital-light, fee-based loan platform has been highlighted by Mizuho analyst Dan Dolev, who asserts that concerns over capital constraints impacting growth are unwarranted. This approach potentially offers low-risk growth opportunities while delivering strong return on equity (ROE) and returns.

Future prospects for SoFi could be bolstered by a lower interest rate environment, which may reduce deposit costs and enhance loan origination capabilities. However, with SOFI stock currently trading at over 91 times forward earnings and more than three times its tangible book value, investors might require additional evidence of growth within SoFi's technology segment and a decline in interest rates before increasing their investments at present valuations.

From a valuation perspective, the stock is deemed "Significantly Overvalued" according to its GF Value of $8.08, against its current market price of $11.22. The market capitalization stands at approximately $12.16 billion. Despite these metrics, SoFi has shown impressive revenue growth with a 26.2% increase year over year. Nevertheless, potential investors should weigh the high Price-to-Sales ratio close to a 2-year high of 4.4 and a Price-to-Book ratio of 1.99 against these growth prospects.

Investors are advised to monitor insider trading activities, as recent reports indicate 111,636 shares being sold by insiders in the past three months, which might suggest caution. However, the company’s Beneish M-Score of -1.82 indicates that it is unlikely to be manipulating its earnings, providing some reassurance on its financial integrity.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.