Why DexCom (DXCM) Stock is Declining Today

Author's Avatar
Oct 25, 2024
Article's Main Image

DexCom (DXCM, Financial) shares experienced a downward trend, shedding 1.88% following the company's third-quarter earnings release. Despite slightly surpassing expectations, concerns over slower sales growth influenced this movement.

In the third quarter, DexCom (DXCM, Financial) reported revenues of $994 million, reflecting a modest 2% year-over-year growth. The company's non-GAAP net income was reported at $181 million, or $0.45 per share, slightly exceeding analyst expectations of $0.43 per share. However, these figures contrast with the company's robust historical performance.

The introduction of DexCom's new glucose biosensor product, Stelo, marks a significant milestone as the first over-the-counter product of its kind in the U.S. market aimed at adults with prediabetes and type 2 diabetes who are not on insulin. The recent product launches in Australia and France also contributed to the revenue increase, albeit modestly.

From a valuation perspective, DexCom (DXCM, Financial) is currently priced at $73.44. The stock holds a GF Value classification of "Significantly Undervalued" with an estimated GF Value of 154.14, suggesting that the market may not be fully appreciating the company's prospects. The company's P/E ratio stands at 43.98, which is relatively high compared to industry peers.

DexCom has set its revenue guidance for 2024 between $4 billion and $4.05 billion, projecting growth of at least 11% from 2023. The company anticipates an adjusted operating margin of approximately 20%. Despite these optimistic projections, market concerns over insider selling, evident with 4,256 shares sold in the past three months, and a single severe warning of asset growth outpacing revenue growth may weigh on investor sentiment.

With a strong Altman Z-Score of 5.82 and a Piotroski F-Score of 7, DexCom (DXCM, Financial) exhibits robust financial health and low likelihood of manipulation, as indicated by a Beneish M-Score of -2.3. However, investors should be aware of the medium warning sign of insider selling activities which might suggest caution.

Overall, while DexCom's recent performance might not fully reflect its long-term potential, the stock's current undervaluation offers potential upside for investors willing to navigate the short-term uncertainties.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.