mBank SA (FRA:BRU) (Q2 2024) Earnings Call Highlights: Record Net Profit Amid Legal Challenges

mBank SA (FRA:BRU) reports a historic net profit of PLN 422 million in Q2 2024, while navigating significant legal costs and strategic capital management decisions.

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Oct 09, 2024
Summary
  • Group Revenues: Declined marginally in Q2, impacted by credit vacations amounting to PLN257 million.
  • Net Interest Income (NII): Adjusted by credit holidays, grew 3.5% quarter-on-quarter.
  • Net Fee and Commission Income: Increased, driven by higher net results on payment cards.
  • Total Income Target for 2024: Aiming for PLN11 billion, a historic mark for the bank.
  • Total Costs (excluding compulsory contributions): Increased by 5.5% quarter-on-quarter.
  • Cost/Income Ratio: Achieved an extraordinary 27%, with a long-term target below 40%.
  • Cost of Risk: 58 basis points in Q2, with full-year guidance below 70 basis points.
  • Net Profit: Reached PLN422 million in Q2.
  • Tier 1 Capital Increase: PLN126 million or roughly 1% since the beginning of 2024.
  • Gross Loans to Customers: Increased by 4.1% quarter-on-quarter.
  • Corporate Loans: Increased by 7.9% quarter-on-quarter.
  • Retail Loans: Increased by 1.2% quarter-on-quarter.
  • Deposits: Increased by 2.4% quarter-on-quarter, driven by retail deposits.
  • Legal Provisions for FX Loans: Reached PLN1.03 billion in Q2.
  • Swiss Franc Portfolio Coverage: Increased to 130% with respect to the active portfolio.
  • Return on Equity (ROE): Core business ROE at 40%, mBank Group ROE close to 10%.
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Release Date: August 01, 2024

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Positive Points

  • mBank SA (FRA:BRU, Financial) reported a strong net profit of PLN 422 million for Q2 2024, marking the highest net operating result in the bank's history when excluding certain impacts.
  • The bank's net interest income (NII) adjusted for credit holidays grew by 3.5%, supported by both loans and deposits.
  • mBank SA (FRA:BRU) achieved an extraordinary cost/income ratio of 27%, well below its long-term strategic target of below 40%.
  • The bank's Tier 1 and total capital ratios are at comfortable levels, with buffers above KNF minimum requirements exceeding 4%.
  • The bank's core business demonstrated strong performance with an ROE of 40% and a gross profit of PLN 2.7 billion, indicating resilience against FX mortgage-related burdens.

Negative Points

  • mBank SA (FRA:BRU) faced high legal costs related to FX mortgage loans, impacting its financial results.
  • The bank's decision not to pay dividends in 2024 aims to strengthen its equity base, reflecting challenges in capital management.
  • The cost of legal risk related to loans indexed to foreign currencies reached PLN 1.03 billion in Q2 2024, indicating ongoing financial strain.
  • The bank's cost of risk increased in Q2, particularly in the Corporate & Investment Banking segment, suggesting potential credit quality concerns.
  • The Swiss franc mortgage portfolio remains a significant issue, with 74% of active contracts currently in court, posing ongoing legal and financial challenges.

Q & A Highlights

Q: What is the approximate level of long-term funding ratios?
A: Pascal Ruhland, Chief Financial Officer, stated that mBank is one of the most frequent issuers in the market, maintaining a strong long-term funding ratio beyond 50%, which is the highest among the top eight banks by the end of 2023.

Q: What is the share of fixed-rate mortgage loans as a percent of the total mortgage volume?
A: Pascal Ruhland mentioned that the fixed-rate mortgage loans currently make up a bit more than 30% of the total mortgage book in Polish zloty, with new sales exceeding 50%.

Q: Does the bank meet the [soft] NII requirement?
A: Pascal Ruhland confirmed that mBank comfortably meets the NII requirements, similar to the long-term funding ratio, and it is not a concern for the bank.

Q: Should we consider a 50% dividend payout from 2025 earnings?
A: Pascal Ruhland stated that while the dividend assumption for 2024 was changed to strengthen capital, the aim remains to pay 50% of the dividend from 2025 onwards.

Q: Are you planning to book more Swiss franc provisions this year?
A: Pascal Ruhland indicated that while the impact is expected to be lower in the second half of the year compared to the first half, it will remain significant.

Q: What are your expectations for lending growth in 2024 and 2025?
A: Marek Lusztyn, Chief Risk Officer, stated that the bank aims to increase market shares, with growth expectations between 4% and 5.8% in 2025, considering these figures as the floor for their ambition.

Q: Could you elaborate more on the KUKE one-off booked this quarter?
A: Marek Lusztyn explained that the KUKE one-off is a positive impact of PLN164 million recovered from receivables due to a favorable court judgment related to a case from 2008.

Q: What is the sensitivity of NII to a 100 bps drop in market interest rates?
A: Pascal Ruhland noted that the sensitivity is PLN665 million, with 60% related to the Polish zloty, representing less than 10% of the total NII contribution.

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.