What's Driving Lumen Technologies Inc's Surprising 96% Stock Rally?

Lumen Technologies Inc (LUMN, Financial), a key player in the telecommunications industry, has witnessed a remarkable surge in its stock price, with a 33.51% increase over the past week and an impressive 96.21% gain over the last three months. Currently, the company's market capitalization stands at $4.03 billion, with a stock price of $3.97. According to GuruFocus, the GF Value of Lumen Technologies is $4.45, suggesting that the stock is modestly undervalued. This is a significant shift from three months ago when the stock was considered a possible value trap.

Company Overview

Lumen Technologies Inc, operating in the telecommunications services sector, boasts an extensive 450,000 route miles of fiber network. Following its merger with Level 3 in 2017 and the divestiture of much of its incumbent local exchange carrier (ILEC) business in 2022, Lumen has pivoted from its legacy consumer operations to focus primarily on enterprise services, which now generate about 75% of its revenue. The company offers a comprehensive range of communications services including colocation and data center services, data transportation, and end-user phone and internet service, maintaining a strong presence in 37 states with 4.5 million broadband customers.

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Assessing Profitability

Lumen Technologies holds a Profitability Rank of 5/10. The company's Operating Margin is 4.76%, which is better than 36.87% of its peers in the industry. However, its Return on Equity (ROE) is at a concerning -327.43%, and its Return on Assets (ROA) stands at -29.09%, indicating significant challenges in generating profit relative to its equity and assets. The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is 1.97%, which is better than 34.11% of the companies in the telecommunications sector. Over the past decade, Lumen has been profitable for five years, which is better than 30.22% of its industry peers.

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Growth Metrics

The Growth Rank for Lumen Technologies is relatively low at 2/10. The company has experienced a 3-Year Revenue Growth Rate per Share of -8.30%, which, despite being negative, is still better than 12.4% of the companies in its sector. The 5-Year Revenue Growth Rate per Share also shows a decline of -6.30%. Looking ahead, the Total Revenue Growth Rate (Future 3Y To 5Y Est) is projected at -5.05%, indicating ongoing challenges in revenue expansion. The 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate stands at -34.10%, reflecting significant earnings pressure.

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Major Shareholders

Notable investors in Lumen Technologies include Jim Simons, holding 7,954,503 shares (0.78% share percentage), Arnold Van Den Berg (Trades, Portfolio) with 1,934,221 shares (0.19% share percentage), and Caxton Associates (Trades, Portfolio), which owns 420,680 shares (0.04% share percentage). These holdings indicate a level of confidence from some investors in the company's future prospects.

Competitive Landscape

Lumen Technologies competes with several firms in the telecommunications sector. Notable competitors include Liberty Latin America Ltd (LILA, Financial) with a market cap of $1.96 billion, Cable One Inc (CABO, Financial) valued at $2.31 billion, and Globalstar Inc (GSAT, Financial) with a market cap of $2.07 billion. These companies represent the competitive environment in which Lumen operates, each with their own strengths and market strategies.

Conclusion

In conclusion, Lumen Technologies Inc has shown a significant turnaround in its stock performance over the recent months, driven by strategic shifts towards enterprise services and a potentially undervalued stock price according to the GF Value. However, the company faces ongoing challenges in profitability and growth, which are critical areas to watch for future developments. Investors should consider both the opportunities and risks associated with Lumen's current market position and future potential in the evolving telecommunications landscape.

This article, generated by GuruFocus, is designed to provide general insights and is not tailored financial advice. Our commentary is rooted in historical data and analyst projections, utilizing an impartial methodology, and is not intended to serve as specific investment guidance. It does not formulate a recommendation to purchase or divest any stock and does not consider individual investment objectives or financial circumstances. Our objective is to deliver long-term, fundamental data-driven analysis. Be aware that our analysis might not incorporate the most recent, price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative information. GuruFocus holds no position in the stocks mentioned herein.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.