Why Lowe's (LOW) Stock is Declining Today

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Nov 19, 2024
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Lowe's (LOW, Financial) shares have experienced a decline of 3.79% today, despite the company outperforming analysts' expectations with its latest sales and earnings results. The home improvement giant converted $20.2 billion in sales into an operating profit of $2.89 per share for the quarter. Although these figures surpassed the estimated $20 billion in sales and $2.82 per share profit, they still reflect a year-over-year decrease from $20.5 billion in sales and $3.06 per share in profit.

One of the contributing factors to the stock's downturn is the reported decline in same-store sales of 1.1%. This drop is compounded by consumers delaying home improvement projects due to ongoing inflationary pressures and logistical challenges, including the aftermath of two significant hurricanes.

Looking forward, Lowe's anticipates a same-store sales decline of 3% to 3.5% for the year, even after revising its expectations upward. Operating profit margins are projected to be slightly lower, ranging between 12.3% and 12.4%. Analysts expect marginal improvements in the coming fiscal year, but the anticipated advancements are likely to be modest.

From a valuation perspective, Lowe's current stock price stands at $261.48. The company's P/E ratio is 21.68, and its GF Value estimate is pegged at $212.30, indicating that Lowe's is currently modestly overvalued (GF Value). Other valuation metrics show similar trends, with the company's PS ratio near a 10-year high at 1.85, and its price close to a 10-year high.

Despite some medium warning signs like a decrease in revenue per share and a dividend yield near a two-year low, there are positive indicators as well. Lowe's boasts a strong Altman Z-score of 3.89, indicating good financial health, and its operating margins are on an expansionary trajectory. Additionally, Lowe's has a predictability score of 3.5, suggesting a fair level of earnings predictability.

Investors should also note that the company's forward PE sits at 20.67, suggesting expectations of future earnings growth. With a market capitalization of $148.34 billion, Lowe's maintains a significant presence in the home improvement retail sector, second only to its main competitor, Home Depot (HD).

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.