United Airlines Outshines Delta with Strong Earnings and Share Buyback Plan

Author's Avatar
Oct 16, 2024
Article's Main Image

Delta Air Lines (DAL, Financial) is often regarded as a leader in the airline industry, but United Airlines (UAL, Financial) is stepping up the competition. UAL recently reported impressive earnings, surpassing EPS and revenue expectations, and announced a $1.5 billion share repurchase plan. The company aims for a consistent capital return strategy, fueled by its growing cash flow.

In Q3, UAL's cash flow from operations surged over 70% year-over-year to nearly $1.5 billion, driven by improved profitability, effective cost management, and a favorable industry supply-demand balance.

  • CEO Scott Kirby's prediction of resolving industry-wide overcapacity issues by mid-August materialized, as domestic unit revenue turned positive in August and September. Overall, TRASM decreased by 1.6%, better than the previous quarter's 2.6% drop and DAL's 3.6% decline in Q3.
  • CASM-ex rose by 6.5% due to a busier network with a 4.1% capacity increase year-over-year, yet UAL achieved a robust adjusted pre-tax margin of 9.7%, surpassing DAL's 8.6% in Q3.
  • UAL capitalized on corporate and premium revenue growth, with corporate revenue up 13% year-over-year in September and premium revenue increasing 5% in Q3, following an 8.5% rise last quarter.
  • UAL's Q4 EPS guidance of $2.50-$3.00 met expectations, possibly reflecting a conservative outlook despite strengthening trends. Corporate travel demand improved in October, and holiday bookings for Q4 appear strong.

UAL stands out as the leading airline amid industry capacity adjustments, benefiting from diverse revenue streams including international, premium, and corporate segments. The future looks promising as airlines continue to streamline flight schedules.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.